The Oscars have always been a time capsule, reflecting the year in which they were released. Consider the choice of “The Best Years of Our Lives” (1946), as people were recovering from the stress and challenges of World War II, or “Midnight Cowboy” (1969), reflecting society’s sexual confusion.
While “The Trial of the Chicago 7” was set in the past, it matches current outrage at government lies and manipulation. In “Mank,” screenwriter Herman J. Mankiewicz (Gary Oldman) delivers a damning, revealing monologue at one of William Randolph Hearst’s dazzling dinners before he’s escorted out.
“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” and “The United States vs Billie Holiday” revolve around strong Black women who insist on singing the songs they want to sing — the way they want to sing them. The position Black artists find themselves in is a particular concern to both women.
Chloe Zhao’s “Nomadland” follows one woman’s spiritual journey, centered on community and compassion. It evokes memories of John Ford’s “Grapes of Wrath” (1941), which followed the Joad family from Oklahoma’s Dust Bowl, heading to California during the Great Depression.
Diversity and inclusion are paramount factors this year.
Best Picture, Director, Actor, Actress
“The Father,” “Judas and the Black Messiah,” “Mank,” “Minari,” “Nomadland,” “Promising Young Woman,” “Sound of Metal,” “The Trial of the Chicago 7.”
My Prediction ➤ Nomadland
Lee Isaac Chung (“Minari”), Emerald Fennell (“Promising Young Woman”), David Fincher (“Mank”), Thomas Vinterberg (“Another Round”), Chloe Zhao (“Nomadland”).
My Prediction ➤ Chloe Zhao
Riz Ahmed (“Sound of Metal”), Chadwick Boseman (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”), Anthony Hopkins (“The Father”), Gary Oldman (“Mank”), Steven Yeun (“Minari”). If I were voting, it would be for Anthony Hopkins … but I am not an Oscar voter.
My Prediction ➤ Chadwick Boseman
Viola Davis (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”), Andra Day (“The United States vs Billie Holiday”), Vanessa Kirby (“Pieces of a Woman”), Frances McDormand (“Nomadland”), Carey Mulligan (“Promising Young Woman”). If I were voting, it would be for Frances McDormand.
My Prediction ➤ Viola Davis
Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Original Screenplay
Sacha Baron Cohen (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”), Daniel Kaluuya (“Judas and the Black Messiah”), Leslie Odom Jr. (“One Night in Miami”), Paul Raci (“Sound of Metal”), LaKeith Stanield (“Judas and the Black Messiah”)
My Prediction ➤ Daniel Kaluuya
Maria Bakalova (“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”), Glenn Close (“Hillbilly Elegy”), Olivia Colman (“The Father”), Amanda Seyfried (“Mank”), Youn Yuh-jung (“Minari”).
My Prediction ➤ Youn Yuh-jung
Ramin Bahrani (“The White Tiger”), Sacha Baron Cohen (“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”), Kemp Powers (“One Night in Miami”), Florian Zeller & Christopher Hampton (“The Father”), Chloe Zhao (“Nomadland”).
My Prediction ➤ Chloe Zhao
Will Berson, Shaka King, Keith Lucas and Kenny Lucas (“Judas and the Black Messiah”); Lee Isaac Chung (“Minari”); Derek Cianfrance, Abraham Marder, Darius Marder (“Sound of Metal”); Emerald Fennell (“Promising Young Woman”); Aaron Sorkin (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”).
My Prediction ➤ Emerald Fennell
Animated Feature, International Feature, Documentary, Cinematography
“Onward,” “Over the Moon,” “Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon,” “Soul,” “Wolfwalkers.”
My Prediction ➤ “Soul”
“Another Round,” “Better Days,” Collective,” “The Man Who Sold His Skin,” “Quo Vadis, Aida?”
My Prediction ➤ “Another Round”
“Collective,” “Crip Camp,” “The Mole Agent,” “My Octopus Teacher,” “Time.” While “Time” fits the ‘diversity/inclusion’ concept, “My Octopus Teacher” is my choice.
My Prediction ➤ “My Octopus Teacher”
Sean Bobbitt (“Judas and the Black Messiah”), Erik Messerschmid (“Mank”), Phedon Papamichael (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”), Joshua James Richards (“Nomadland”), Darius Wolski (“News of the World”).
My Prediction ➤ “Mank”
Costume Design, Film Editing, Production Design, Makeup & Hairstyling
“Emma,” “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom,” “Mank,” “Mulan,” “Pinocchio.”
My Prediction ➤ “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
“The Father,” “Nomadland,” “Promising Young Woman,” “Sound of Metal,” “The Trial of the Chicago 7.”
My Prediction ➤ “The Trial of the Chicago 7”
“The Father,” “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom,” “Mank,” “News of the World,” “Tenet.”
My Prediction ➤ “Mank”
“Emma,” “Hillbilly Elegy,” “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom,” “Mank,” “Pinocchio.”
My Prediction ➤ “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
Visual Effects, Sound, Original Score, Original Song
“Love and Monsters,” “The Midnight Sky,” “Mulan,” “The One and Only Ivan,” “Tenet.”
My Prediction ➤ “Tenet”
“Greyhound,” “Mank,” “News of the World,” “Soul,” “Sound of Metal.”
My Prediction ➤ “Sound of Metal”
“Da 5 Bloods,” “Mank,” “Minari,” “News of the World,” “Soul.”
My Prediction ➤ “Soul”
“Fight For You” (“Judas and the Black Messiah”), “Hear My Voice” (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”), “Husavik” (“Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga”), “Io Si” (“The Life Ahead”), “Speak Now” (“One Night in Miami”). I would choose “Io Si.”
My Prediction ➤ “Speak Now”
Short Subjects Documentary, Animated, Live Action
“Colette,” “A Concert Is a Conversation,” “Do Not Split,” “Hunger World,” “A Love Song for Latasha.”
My Prediction ➤ “A Love Song for Latasha”
“Burrow,” “Genius Loci,” “If Anything Happens I Love You,” “Opera,” “Yes-People.”
My Prediction ➤ “If Anything Happens I Love You”
“Feeling Through,” “The Letter Room,” “The Present,” “Two Distant Strangers,” “White Eye.”
My Prediction ➤ “The Letter Room”
And the Oscar goes to…
You can watch the Oscars on Sunday night, April 25, on ABC-TV.
Susan Granger is a product of Hollywood. Her natural father, S. Sylvan Simon, was a director and producer at M.G.M. and Columbia Pictures. Her adoptive father, Armand Deutsch, produced movies at M.G.M.
As a child, Susan appeared in movies with Abbott & Costello, Red Skelton, Lucille Ball, Margaret O’Brien, and Lassie. She attended Mills College in California, studying journalism with Pierre Salinger, and graduated from the University of Pennsylvania with highest honors in journalism.
During her adult life, Susan has been on radio and television as an anchorwoman and movie and drama critic, syndicating her reviews and articles around the world, including Video Librarian. She has appeared on American Movie Classics and Turner Classic Movies. In 2017, her book 150 Timeless Movies was published by Hannacroix Creek Books.
Her website is www.susangranger.com. Follow her on Twitter @susangranger.